Does he get a renewed challenge as leader of the party in the House?ģ. He lost out once before on being speaker because of messaging problems, and the exit polls showed McCarthy with a 27% favorable, 53% unfavorable rating. More Republican women ran for the House and Senate this year than 2020, for example.īut there are questions about the strength of McCarthy's potential bid to be speaker of the House. And it's true that Republicans this year did put up a lot of diverse candidates relative to previous election cycles. They'll be able to blunt Biden's agenda and not much will likely happen in Washington legislatively. "When you wake up tomorrow we will be in the majority – Nancy Pelosi will be in the minority," McCarthy added.ĭemocrats would still be in control of the House until January when the next Congress is sworn in, but Republicans will be in charge in the new year and for at least the next two years. He pointed to diverse GOP candidates across the country and claimed that it was evidence of an expanding GOP tent. "It is clear that we are going to take the House back," McCarthy said. Republican House leader Kevin McCarthy spoke at almost 2 a.m. A Republican net gain of nine would be enough for a majority – they only needed five – but it will also make for lots of Republican hand-wringing. Since World War II, the party out of power has picked up a net of 28 seats and 43 seats when a president's approval rating was below 50%, as President Biden's is today. It's also far below the average for a president's first midterm. If that holds, that would only be a net gain of eight seats, on the low end of forecasters' projections. At this hour, Republicans have flipped or lead in 17 races, while Democrats have flipped or lead in nine. The House still looks like it's headed for GOP hands, but not by a huge margin. Republicans underperformed in the House, and there's going to be a lot of finger-pointing So, let's say if Democrats hold on in Arizona, but lose in Nevada, then Georgia will decide control of the Senate in a runoff in about a month, Dec. In Georgia, Democrat Raphael Warnock was narrowly ahead, but not quite above the 50% threshold needed for an outright victory. Arizona only had about 58% of votes in, and Democrat Mark Kelly was ahead at that point. Nevada and Georgia are close, but the Republican was ahead in Nevada and the Democrat was ahead in Georgia. They were expecting to win up to 52 seats, and that now appears unlikely.
That means Republicans now need a net gain of two pickups to gain control.
It is likely their one flip of the evening, as Wisconsin looks less likely. Senate races in the key states of Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin are still not called, though incumbent Republican Ron Johnson in Wisconsin led with 98% of votes in.ĭemocrat John Fetterman won in Pennsylvania, which was seen as a crucial state for Democrats to be able to retain control. The Senate is undecided, and is going to go on a whileĬontrol of both the House and Senate are still not yet known, as of 5 a.m. There's still a lot we don't know, but one thing we do know is that Republicans did not have the night they were hoping for.īased on what we do know in the wee hours, let's dig in with six takeaways:ġ. We've been saying for months these elections were expected to be close, that many of these elections would take a while to be decided, asked whether things had settled into a typical midterm, where the president's party would suffer major losses, and said to not believe anyone who told you they knew exactly what would happen. This is why it's always important to remember never to assume you know exactly what's going to happen in an election – and to keep an open mind for potential surprises.
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